Make Your Move

Keeping Sequestration in Long-Term Perspective

We have to face the choice of accepting spending cuts now or later. The difficulties will only be greater if we delay.

The March 1 sequestration deadline is upon us. The rhetoric out of Washington is increasing, and so is the scare factor. We are being told that planes will face massive delays, park rangers will be hard to find, meat plants will go uninspected, and all manner of calamity is upon us. I thought some perspective might be helpful.

The news report is that $85 billion of “cuts” are required under sequestration and that this will cause all kinds of economic and social chaos. In reality, the actual cuts are about $60 billion plus or minus because the $85 billion is off the increased 2013 estimated budget. Add to the 2012 budget and then subtract and then you have a Washington cut. 

$60 billion in potential reduction in budgets in a federal government with a budget of approximately $3.7 trillion (there is not real budget so you can’t be sure). The cuts amount to 1.6% of the total.  If you prefer, the cuts would come to about 6.6% of the projected 2013 deficit. 

How many families and businesses have had to cut 1.6% of their costs in the last five years and yet somehow continue to function, or in the case of businesses, still deliver quality goods and services seamlessly to the customer? Either we embrace this very mild austerity now and each year over the next nine years or we will be forced to live with much more austerity-led cuts in the next decade.

 

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Leverage actionable -- and 94.7% accurate -- economic forecasts from ITR Economics, and spot unfolding business cycle trends before your competitors.

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Brian Beaulieu

  Brian Beaulieu has been an economist with ITR Economics since 1982 and its CEO since 1987. He is also Chief Economist for Vistage International and TEC, global organizations comprised of...

Alan Beaulieu

  One of the country’s most informed economists, Alan Beaulieu is a principal of the ITR Economics where he serves as President. ITR predicts future economic trends with 94.7% accuracy...
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on Feb. 26, 2013
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