Make Your Move

US Job Growth: Who Gets the Credit?

RSS

Private sector job increases suggestive of more recovery in the U.S.

The private sector added 253,000 jobs in November. The 0.23% increase from October sounds unimpressive, but it was in fact the best October-to-November increase in six years. The percent changes in August, September, and October were about average or better than average.

One more statistic -- the 7.3% increase in private sector employment over the 35 months of rise is steeper than the 2003-07 rise through a similar time period. The increases are not astounding, but they certainly are suggestive of more recovery in the U.S. as we end 2012 and move into 2013. 

The Federal Reserve Board has stated that they have made job creation a mandate over inflation control. It may be tempting to give them the credit for the good November jobs number.There could be some validity to their taking some credit for the good news.  They have provided a lot of liquidity to banks, and banks are making commercial and industrial loans at 12.7% higher volume than this time last year.

The only problem is that the bank liquidity and willingness to make loans does not neatly equate to the business decision to add labor. Businesses add labor because of demand for products or services. The market is working, and the result is increased employment. 

 

Please or Register to post comments.

What's Make Your Move?

Leverage actionable -- and 94.7% accurate -- economic forecasts from ITR Economics, and spot unfolding business cycle trends before your competitors.

Contributors

Brian Beaulieu

Brian Beaulieu has been an economist with ITR Economics since 1982 and its CEO since 1987. He is also Chief Economist for Vistage International and TEC, global organizations comprised of over 13,000...

Alan Beaulieu

One of the country’s most informed economists, Alan Beaulieu is a principal of the ITR Economics where he serves as President. ITR predicts future economic trends with 94.7% accuracy rate and...
Blog Archive
Subscribe to IW Newsletters
IW Marketplace - Buy a Link Now