Collapse of U.S. Solar Manufacturers Opens Doors for China

Chinese manufacturers now command 70% of the global solar-panel market, analysts say.

China's solar-power companies are emerging as the industry's dominant force after the collapse of foreign competitors, but the new market leaders already are struggling with low prices and overcapacity.

As the workshop of the world, China has used cheap labor and state support to build a solar industry from scratch in just over a decade as part of a broader strategy to move up the manufacturing value chain from cheap toys and clothes.

China is the world's second-biggest oil consumer, and polluting fossil fuels account for 90% of its total energy use. However, the country is making large strides forward in clean energy.

Analysts say Chinese firms now have 70% of the growing global market in solar panels, thanks to aggressive pricing and the collapse of three U.S. competitors in the last two months.

"The position of Chinese players has certainly been enhanced this year," said Tang Xiaodong, a Shanghai-based analyst at independent investment advisory firm CEBM.

"Lower costs are the direction of the industry and the advantages of Chinese firms on this front have been manifested more clearly."

China's solar-panel prices have fallen to around $1.2 per watt of generation, down from about $1.7 last year and much lower than the global average of about $2 in 2010.

But the downward price spiral has hurt revenues across the industry, and Chinese companies are themselves feeling the pain.

"Everyone is facing falling prices, increasing inventories and dire straits," said an official at Yingli Green Energy, one of China's biggest solar companies, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Unfair Advantages?

Critics argue that Chinese companies have unfair advantages in the form of access to cheap capital from China's state-run banks.

However, they are not alone in receiving government assistance -- the latest U.S. solar firm to file for bankruptcy was Solyndra, which had a $535 million loan guarantee from President Barack Obama's administration.

It joined Evergreen Solar, once listed on the Nasdaq exchange, and high-profile Intel spinoff SpectraWatt.

But even before the collapse of those three U.S. companies, China already was home to the world's largest producer of solar panels, Suntech.

"There is a periodic murmur from industry, trade groups and elements in the U.S. government that unfair subsidies in other countries put the U.S. at a distinct disadvantage in the solar industry," said U.S.-based analysis firm GTM Research in a recent report.

China's Suntech, which is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, counters such criticism by saying consolidation of the emerging industry was natural.

"The recent high-profile bankruptcies of innovative solar enterprises are unfortunate," Suntech said in a statement to AFP.

"However, competition among aggressive and innovative companies is critical to driving efficiency, productivity, and industry growth."

China's Domestic Demand Expected to Grow

Chinese companies are almost solely focused on exports, with as much as 95% of production sold overseas, according to some estimates, and they have responded to falling prices for solar panels by ramping up shipments.

But analysts expect domestic demand for solar products to rise with the introduction of a new national "feed-in" tariff -- a price the government guarantees to pay to producers of solar power feeding into the grid.

"The days of China's PV [photovoltaic] production being purely for export are coming to an end," GTM Research said, referring to solar-power technology.

Copyright Agence France-Presse, 2011

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