Is It the Great Green Fleet?

April 24, 2013
The Pentagon should let the private sector take the lead on developing economically-feasible biofuels.

Last year, the Pentagon announced plans to make $210 million in matching funds available to help private companies build refineries that are capable of producing at least 10 million gallons of biofuels a year for the military. 

Behind the initiative lay the fact that a $1 per barrel increase in oil prices would result in a $30 million dollar hit to the Navy budget. Secretary Ray Mabus also justified the initiative by proposing that the increased use of biofuels would help our strategic position because we would not be compromised by a dependence on foreign oil. 

This sounds reasonable on the surface, but it is not.  The biofuels that the Navy used in last year’s Pacific fleet exercises cost $27 per gallon versus the petroleum fuel’s $4 per gallon, resulting in a total additional cost of $12 million in biofuels.  If the Navy was to purchase 30 million gallons at $27/gallon, it would spend spending $810 million for biofuels as opposed to $120 million for petroleum.

Such a move does not make economic sense. The Pentagon’s spending millions of dollars on biofuels has occurred at a time when many within the Pentagon are worried about the impact on budget cuts on our defense preparedness.  

The Navy Secretary’s point about our vulnerability to foreign oil also does not make any sense.  The largest export the U.S. had in 2012 was petroleum goods.  We are producing an incredible amount of oil through much of the U.S., and we are annually reducing the importation of foreign oil. 

We are on the right path to energy independence without the Pentagon’s funding of alternative fuels research.  Private firms are already engaged in this study, and the private sector can be counted on to develop biofuels if it makes economic sense.  A cash-strapped government should avoid speculation and concentrate on balancing the budget.

About the Author

Alan Beaulieu Blog | President

One of the country’s most informed economists, Alan Beaulieu is a principal of the ITR Economics where he serves as President. ITR predicts future economic trends with 94.7% accuracy rate and 60 years of correct calls. In his keynotes, Alan delivers clear, comprehensive action plans and tools for capitalizing on business cycle fluctuations and outperforming your competition--whether the economy is moving up, down, or in a recession.

Since 1990, he has been consulting with companies throughout the US, Europe, and Asia on how to forecast, plan, and increase their profits based on business cycle trend analysis. Alan is also the Senior Economic Advisor to NAW, Contributing Editor for INDUSTRYWEEK, and the Chief Economist for HARDI.

Alan is co-author, along with his brother Brian, of the book MAKE YOUR MOVE, and has written numerous articles on economic analysis. He makes up to 150 appearances each year, and his keynotes and seminars have helped thousands of business owners and executives capitalize on emerging trends. 

Prior to joining ITR Economics, Alan was a principal in a steel fabrication company and also in a software development company.

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