Central Bank Action in China and Europe

July 5, 2012
Both The People's Bank of China The European Central Bank have lowered their rates.

The People's Bank of China (China's central bank) lowered the benchmark one-year cost of borrowing money by 31 basis points to 6%. This is the second time in a month that the Bank has acted to stimulate the economy. This is probably a sign that the economy has slowed more than the official statistics let on. Based on history, China should be effective via this monetary policy in adding some vitality to its economy.

The European Central Bank (ECB) cut deposit rates 25 basis points to 0.75% in an attempt to get the eurozone turned around. This is the lowest rate yet sanctioned by the ECB. The deposit rate is what the Central Bank pays banks for overnight deposits left with the ECB. The reduction is an attempt to make holding cash less attractive. Sometimes this policy action is like pushing on a string because ultimately there must be demand pulling on the string in order for the process to work well. Consumers in Europe are showing a resiliency in their spending that is encouraging. What we need to see now are businesses willing to pick up their tempo regarding borrowing and investing. This is sometimes harder to do than stimulating consumer spending. However, within the context of the broader sovereign debt remedies being bantered about for Europe, we think the ECB made the right call at the right time.

About the Author

Brian Beaulieu | CEO

Brian Beaulieu has been an economist with ITR Economics since 1982 and its CEO since 1987. He is also Chief Economist for Vistage International and TEC, global organizations comprised of over 13,000 CEO’s. At ITR, Brian has been engaged in applied research regarding business cycle trend analysis and the utilization of that research at a practical business level. 

For the past 25 years, he has been giving workshops and seminars across the US and Canada to thousands of business owners and executives. 

Prior to joining the ITR Economics, Brian was an economist for the US Department of Labor where he worked on the health care component of the Consumer Price Index. 

Brian is co-author of the book, Make Your Move.

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