China Manufacturing Sector Close to Recession

Jan. 3, 2009
Manufacturing accounts for 43% of China's economy.

After output contracted at a record pace in December, China's manufacturing sector is close to a technical recession, a leading independent brokerage said on Jan. 2. The CLSA China Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) which measures manufacturing activity nationwide, stood at 41.2 in December and although it was up from November's 40.9, overall output still contracted, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets said.

A reading above 50 means the manufacturing economy is expanding, while a reading below 50 indicates an overall decline.

The December figure represents the fifth contraction in a row, CLSA said. The direction of China's manufacturing sector reflects the overall direction of the world's fourth-largest economy.

"Chinese manufacturing activity was very weak in December. Output contracted at a record pace, employment fell for the fifth month and work in hand declined," said Eric Fishwick, head of CLSA Economic Research. "With five back-to-back PMIs signalling contraction, the manufacturing sector, which accounts for 43% of the Chinese economy, is close to technical recession," he said.

The World Bank has predicted that economic growth in China next year will slow to a 19-year low of 7.5%.

Copyright Agence France-Presse, 2009

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