Lockheed Martin's F-22 Raptor.

Defense Contractors, Steel Company Among Trump Day-One Winners

Nov. 9, 2016
Trump pledged to bolster U.S. defense spending. Lockheed Martin Corp., Northrop Grumman Corp. and Raytheon Co. posted the biggest share gains since the financial crisis. 

Donald Trump’s stunning victory is already creating winners and losers in markets and governments around the world, from miners in America’s Appalachian Mountains heartened by his devotion to coal, to Mexican peso traders stunned by the selloff. Many changes will play out slowly. Others took little time to manifest. Here are some:

                            Winners

Defense contractors: Trump pledged to bolster U.S. defense spending. Lockheed Martin Corp., Northrop Grumman Corp. and Raytheon Co. posted the biggest share gains since the financial crisis. “Defense gives investors a place to put their cash -- it’s a safe haven,” said Richard Aboulafia, a Fairfax, Va.-based analyst with Teal Group. A restriction on Muslim immigration, however, would make Middle Eastern countries less likely to be customers of U.S. companies, he said.

Steelmakers: U.S. Steel Corp. and Nucor Corp. soared as Trump’s promise to favor American manufacturers led investors to believe that domestic prices for the metal will increase. Nucor gained the most in more than seven years; U.S. Steel climbed more than 20%.

Coal: Trump’s election breathed fresh life into an industry struggling with debt and the worst price slump in decades. Coal tycoon Robert Murray said in a statement that the election marked a “great day for America” and he looked forward to a national policy that puts all energy sources on a level playing field. Bonds of his company, Murray Energy Corp., surged to their highest in 16 months.

Oil and natural gas drillers: Remember 2008’s “drill, baby, drill”? Trump, who’s bullish on fracking, has pledged to roll back regulations and open more federal land to extraction industries.

Pharma stocks: With Republicans retaining both houses of Congress and Trump in the White House, Democratic threats of price controls are no longer a concern. Investors made stocks such as Pfizer Inc. some of the biggest winners in early trading.

Bank stocks: Trump has vowed to reduce financial regulation, and banks are already benefiting. Bank of America Corp. gained the most since May.

Steelmakers: U.S. Steel Corp. and Nucor Corp. soared as Trump’s promise to favor American manufacturers led investors to believe that domestic prices for the metal will increase. Nucor gained the most in more than seven years; U.S. Steel climbed more than 20%.

                             Losers

Gunmakers: Sturm Ruger & Co. posted the biggest intraday decline in seven years as the Trump win eased concerns of weapons restrictions. Sales have surged, and any discussion of gun control by political leaders can cause shares of gunmakers to spike. Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. fell in the biggest intraday drop since April.

Renewable energy: Denmark-based Vestas Wind Systems A/S, the world’s biggest builder of wind turbines, fell as much as 13%, while solar companies took a hammering. San Jose-based SunPower Corp. dropped by as much as 14%.

M&A: Trump has vowed to block AT&T Inc.’s $85.4 billion deal for Time Warner Inc. -- the largest transaction announced this year -- calling it “poison” to democracy. A survey by Intralinks Holdings Inc. before the election showed that 56% of global deal-making executives said Trump would be bad for M&A.

Treasuries: They’d been expected to soar in an investor flight to safety, but instead they’re falling amid speculation Republicans will ramp up spending to boost the economy.

Mexican peso: The currency was headed to its biggest drop in more than two decades as angst swept across a country that was often the focus of Trump’s harsh campaign rhetoric. For President Enrique Pena Nieto, the outcome was particularly painful. His popularity sank to record lows in August after he invited the Republican nominee to a meeting in Mexico City that turned into an embarrassing exchange of angry words. On Nov. 9, Pena Nieto took to Twitter to say he’s ready to work with Trump.

by Phil Kuntz

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