GDP Numbers 'Not a Surprise to Manufacturers'

Jan. 30, 2013

National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) Chief Economist Chad Moutray calls the dip in 2012 fourth-quarter GDP "not a surprise to manufacturers."

"Late last year the NAM released its Fiscal Shock study, which found that the fiscal cliff would reduce real GDP by 0.6% in 2012 from what it would have been without the fiscal cliff debate," Moutray said. "We saw manufacturers pulling back on spending and hiring at the end of last year as they worried about slowing sales and fiscal uncertainties. This was confirmed in the latest NAM/IndustryWeek Survey of Manufacturers, which found their overall optimism declined significantly throughout the year.

"Even with the fiscal cliff partially averted, many concerns remain. There are no budget solutions over sequestration, which could cost a million jobs by 2014. At the same time, headwinds overseas have taken a toll on manufacturing exports. While there has been some recent optimism in the markets, the key driver for manufacturers will be when confidence rises and sales consistently pick up."

Moutray said it was "frustrating" to manufacturers that "policymakers can’t seem to put forth a growth plan."

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